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It’s Really Over! Still!

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May 4, 2016 by skokielib

Bernie Sanders and many of his supporters continue to cling to hope that the Democratic nomination race is still in play. But it isn’t. It’s over. The math makes it almost impossible for Bernie Sanders to win a majority of delegates. We looked at that last week.

And it hasn’t improved. Sanders needed to win roughly 75% of the delegates going forward. While he won Indiana, it was a narrow win with about 54% of delegates. Which digs a deeper hole and means he must win a bigger percentage going forward.

Apparently the Sanders campaign has also recognized that. Because now they are saying there is going to be a contested convention. That somehow he is going to cause the super delegates to switch to him.

It won’t happen. Hillary Clinton is very likely to win the majority of delegates. But even if she doesn’t, she will clearly have more delegates. And she clearly will have more popular votes. Not that popular votes officially mean anything.

The super delegates aren’t going to switch to Bernie Sanders for the same reason that Bernie Sanders and his supporters argued that they weren’t going to support Hillary Clinton if she weren’t the clear winner. She will be the clear winner. The math makes that an almost certainty.

I voted for Sanders. I like his ideas. But it is over. It’s great that he is staying in the race where he can continue to drive dialog and keep the party focused on being progressive. But it’s over. I’m sorry to break people’s hearts, but it just isn’t feasible.

http://talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/what-is-sanders-thinking

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